by Calculated Risk on 11/19/2021 07:19:00 PM
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated59.0%58.7%>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)195.9194.7>=2321New Cases per Day3?94,26073,366<=5,0002Hospitalized3?40,57940,221<=3,0002Deaths per Day3?1,0691,024<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37 day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7 day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
IMPORTANT: For “herd immunity” most experts believe we need 70% to 85% of the total population fully vaccinated (or already had COVID). Note: COVID will probably stay endemic (at least for some time).
The following 19 states have between 50% and 59.9% fully vaccinated: Wisconsin at 59.1%, Nebraska, Iowa, Utah, Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Arizona, Nevada, South Dakota, North Carolina, Alaska, Ohio, Kentucky, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Missouri and Indiana at 50.4%.
Next up (total population, fully vaccinated according to CDC) are Tennessee at 49.2%, Georgia at 49.1%, Arkansas at 48.9%, Louisiana at 48.5% and North Dakota at 48.4%.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7 day average (line) of positive tests reported.