U.S. stocks were little changed Friday to wrap up a record-setting 2021 even as the Covid-19 pandemic churned.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 35 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 traded near the flatline. The Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.3%.
Several top-performing names in the S&P 500 this year also led gainers in the index Friday.
Ford Motor added 1.8%, bringing its year-to-date gain to around 137%. Moderna rose 1.6%, up about 145% on the year. Signature Bank gained 1.8% to bring its 2021 run-up to roughly 140%.
The major averages are all up double-digits this year as the global economy began its recovery from the 2020 Covid lockdowns, while the Federal Reserve maintained supportive measures first implemented at the onset of the pandemic.
The S&P 500 is up 27.1% in 2021, putting the benchmark on pace for its third straight positive year. The Dow and Nasdaq are also headed for a three-year winning streak, having gained 18.8% and 21.9% for the year, respectively.
“2021 was another exceptional year for U.S. equity markets,” Wells Fargo Investment Institute’s Chris Haverland said in a note. “The markets were supported by … highly accommodative fiscal and monetary policies.”
Strong corporate earnings also boosted U.S. stocks, Haverland said. The estimated year-over-year earnings growth rate for 2021 is 45.1%, according to FactSet. That would mark the highest annual earnings growth rate for the index since FactSet began tracking the metric in 2008.
“The economic and earnings rebound that started in 2020 carried over into 2021, lifting equity markets to record highs. While returns in 2020 were driven by price-to-earnings multiple expansion, returns in 2021 were driven by earnings growth,” Haverland said.
The benchmark index notched 70 record closes this year, the second-highest annual tally behind 1995’s 77 closing highs.
The record closes occurred frequently. The S&P 500 has posted at least one new record close every month since Nov. 2020. The longest span without a new high was a 49-day period between Sep. 2 and Oct. 21.
Energy and real estate have been the best-performing sectors in the S&P 500 this year, surging more than 40% each. Tech and financials are also up more than 30%. Home Depot and Microsoft have led the Dow gains, rising more than 50% each. Names like Alphabet, Apple, Meta Platforms and Tesla have led Nasdaq’s gains this year.
The gains come even as the Covid pandemic rages on, with variants like delta and, more recently, omicron leading to case outbreaks throughout the year. The U.S. has now recorded more than 53 million Covid cases and more than 820,000 deaths, according to CDC data as of Thursday.
To be sure, developments like the rollout of the Covid vaccine have shifted public health protocols, giving way to some positive sentiment in the market.
But many investors and strategists expect tougher conditions next year as the Fed tapers off its pandemic-era easy monetary policy and addresses persistent inflation.
“It’s going to be tougher, I think, in the second half of 2022. Still, I think you’re going to have enough market for stocks next year,” Wharton finance professor and long-time market bull Jeremy Siegel said Friday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”
–CNBC’s Fred Imbert contributed to this report.
Leave a Reply