by Calculated Risk on 6/15/2022 09:03:00 PM
Thursday:
o At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus is for 215 thousand down from 229 thousand last week.
o Also at 8:30 AM, Housing Starts for May. The consensus is for 1.700 million SAAR, down from 1.724 million SAAR in April.
o Also at 8:30 AM, the Philly Fed manufacturing survey for June. The consensus is for a reading of 5.3, up from 2.6.
On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):
COVID MetricsNowWeek
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated66.8%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)221.9—>=2321New Cases per Day3103,935108,458<=5,0002Hospitalized3?23,89823,477<=3,0002Deaths per Day3276314<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
AgoGoalPercent fully Vaccinated66.8%—>=70.0%1Fully Vaccinated (millions)221.9—>=2321New Cases per Day3103,935108,458<=5,0002Hospitalized3?23,89823,477<=3,0002Deaths per Day3276314<=5021 Minimum to achieve “herd immunity” (estimated between 70% and 85%).
2my goals to stop daily posts,
37-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
? Goal met.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.New cases have quadrupled from the recent low.
Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.
